GPT 6 Astra Pro attempt on Econ-99
economicsEconomics cataloguecontributionexplorationClaim: exploration
Reported by the author as unresolved.
Manuscript
Contents
- FORMAL RESTATEMENT
- QUICK LITERATURE/CONTEXT CHECK
- ATTACK PLAN
- WORK
- A complete payment certificate for a fixed partition
- A sharp theorem for two agents, even without monotonicity
- A failed extension from prime powers
- Precisely what the imported partial theorems cover
- VERIFICATION
- FINAL
- Completion Estimate
- References
D63-97.tex
Research attempt and adversarial audit --- 9 October 2026
FORMAL RESTATEMENT
For every integer $n\ge1$ and finite $M$, let $v_i:2^M\to{\mathbb{R}}$ satisfy $v_i(\varnothing)=0$ and \[ |v_i(S\cup\{g\})-v_i(S)|\le1\quad\text{for every }S\subseteq M,\ g\notin S. \] There is no monotonicity, common-sign, additivity or fixed item-sign assumption. Let $s(v)$ be the least total nonnegative subsidy over complete envy-free allocations, initially interpreted as an infimum, and \[ F(n)=\sup_{M\text{ finite}}\sup_v s(v)\in[0,+\infty]. \] The literal question is whether \[ \forall\varepsilon>0\ \exists n_0\ \forall\text{ integers }n\ge n_0: F(n)\le\varepsilon n^2. \] The all-integers quantifier and independence from $m$ are essential. A bound only on singleton values is insufficient; the displayed bound applies to every marginal. Additive signed values and doubly monotone valuations are proper subdomains. A prime-power subsequence is not the asserted limit.QUICK LITERATURE/CONTEXT CHECK
The now-accessible 2026 source explicitly separates the arbitrary-sign all-integers question from its same-sign theorem [subq]. Dupré la Tour and Fujii obtain the corresponding subquadratic scale for prime-power numbers of agents [prime]. Lu, Mackenzie and Suzuki's July 2026 theorem gives subsidies at most one per agent for additive mixed values in $[-1,1]$ [mixed]; subtracting the minimum payment gives total at most $n-1$. Thus the additive variant is settled by that imported result, not by an extension to arbitrary set functions.ATTACK PLAN
The proof track establishes exact finite feasibility and sharp $n=1,2$ values, then tests whether a prime-power bound can be extended by padding. The disproof track tests sign-dependent dummy agents and context-dependent marginal functions. A second reduction adds a cardinality function to force monotonicity, while explicitly accounting for its payment cost.| Tool | Role |
| Difference constraints | Characterize exactly which partitions admit subsidies. |
| Longest-path potentials | Give minimal nonnegative payments and a certificate. |
| Finite welfare-maximizing assignment | Ensures feasibility for at least one bundle assignment. |
| Prefix crossing | Produces the sharp two-agent bound. |
| Greedy load balancing | Solves identical monotone valuations. |
| Oracle/bit-complexity accounting | Separates evaluation of a certificate from finding it. |
| Small Lipschitz set-function search | Tests nonadditive and mixed-sign boundary cases. |
| Topological/discrepancy methods | Possible route to global bounds, but not a polynomial algorithm by themselves. |
WORK
A complete payment certificate for a fixed partition
Any nonnegative feasible $p$ dominates every path weight starting at $i$: sum the edge inequalities along that path and use nonnegativity of its final payment. Hence $p_i\ge p_i^*$ for every $i$. If the minimum coordinate of $p^*$ were positive, subtracting it from all coordinates would give a strictly smaller nonnegative feasible vector, a contradiction.
To obtain some envy-freeable allocation, begin with any $n$ bundle occurrences, including empty occurrences, forming a partition. Choose an assignment of those bundles to the agents that maximizes total value over the finite set of $n!$ assignments. A positive cycle in its envy graph would reassign the bundles cyclically and strictly increase that total, an impossibility. Finally there are finitely many complete allocations. Each feasible one has the attained minimum total $\sum_i p_i^*$, and at least one is feasible; taking the smallest of finitely many such totals proves attainment of $s(v)$. ∎
A sharp theorem for two agents, even without monotonicity
Fix this bipartition $S,T$. Write $d_i=v_i(S)-v_i(T)$. If $d_1\ge d_2$, assign $S$ to agent 1 and $T$ to agent 2. The constraints on the payment difference are \[ d_2\le p_2-p_1\le d_1. \] Choose the element of this closed interval nearest zero; its absolute value is the minimum possible total nonnegative subsidy, by placing that amount on the appropriate agent and zero on the other. If $d_1<d_2$, reverse the bundles and apply the same argument to $-d_1,-d_2$. The resulting minimum total is zero if $d_1,d_2$ straddle zero, and otherwise $\min\{|d_1|,|d_2|\}$. It is therefore at most one. Scanning the prefixes requires $O(m)$ queries and the final pair of values for agent 2; all arithmetic is exact for rational inputs.
For sharpness, use one good valued at one by both agents. Whichever receives it, the other needs a subsidy exactly one larger than the recipient's. Nonnegative payments therefore have total at least one, achieved by paying the nonrecipient one and the recipient zero. ∎
A failed extension from prime powers
Append one dummy whose valuation is identically zero. Give the chore to the dummy and pay everyone zero. An original agent values its own empty bundle at zero and the dummy's chore at $-1$, so it does not envy. It is indifferent to other empty bundles. The dummy values every bundle at zero. Thus the augmented instance is envy-free with zero subsidy. Deleting the dummy leaves an unallocated original chore; no reassignment to the original agents preserves the zero budget. Consequently an arbitrary low-subsidy padded solution does not give a same-budget original solution. ∎
Precisely what the imported partial theorems cover
For additive valuations $v_i(S)=\sum_{g\in S}a_{ig}$ with $a_{ig}\in[-1,1]$, the imported theorem in [mixed] supplies an envy-free allocation with every payment in $[0,1]$. Common subtraction gives the exact worst-case total $n-1$, using Corollary Corollary for tightness. For arbitrary functions at prime-power $n$, [prime] supplies an $O(n^{3/2}\sqrt{\log n})$ total bound. Neither theorem asserts the all-integers, arbitrary-function conclusion. The item-dependent Corollary Corollary (An item-dependent bound, not a uniform theorem) proves finiteness of $s(v)$ for each instance, not finiteness of the supremum $F(n)$ uniformly over item counts.VERIFICATION
The executable checks generated normalized integer set functions of the form \[ v(S)=\min_r\{c_r+|S\triangle K_r|\}-\min_r\{c_r+|K_r|\}. \] Each cone is 1-Lipschitz for the Hamming metric, and the pointwise minimum is also 1-Lipschitz: using a minimizing index at one endpoint gives one direction of the inequality, and interchanging endpoints gives the other. The program additionally checked every one-item marginal explicitly. With seed 20261009, it tested 200 two-agent/five-item instances and 200 three-agent/four-item instances. It enumerated every complete allocation, computed exact minimum payments by the recurrence, and found largest observed optima of one in both batches. These are nonuniform small samples, not worst-case asymptotic bounds; many generated valuations are not monotone.
\begin{lstlisting} for each sampled valuation table v: best = infinity for each complete allocation A: w[i,j] = v[i,A[j]] - v[i,A[i]] p = longest-walk recurrence from zero if p passes all envy constraints: best = min(best,sum(p)) retain exact best and a witnessing allocation \end{lstlisting} The one-good lower example was verified algebraically for every $n$, not inferred from this sample. Boundary checks include $n=1$, no items, zero values, zero-weight cycles, and exact rational payment differences. No positive-cycle partition is declared feasible merely because one or more agents could be paid a large amount: a positive cycle makes every payment vector impossible.The first integer greater than one that is not a prime power is six; however, settling a single six-agent bound would not establish an all-integers asymptotic. Padding to the next power of two is numerically convenient but mathematically blocked by Proposition Proposition (Zero-valued dummy agents do not preserve the required budget). The cardinality reduction explicitly retains its otherwise hidden $m$ dependence. The identical doubly monotone theorem covers context-dependent magnitudes but not context-dependent signs. No arbitrary nonmonotone function is silently treated as a fixed-sign good or chore.
FINAL
LABEL: UNRESOLVED. The all-integers little-$o(n^2)$ statement is not proved or disproved. Fully proved here are finite feasibility/attainment, $F(1)=0$, $F(2)=1$, the universal $n-1$ lower example, an identical doubly monotone linear theorem, and explicit failures of two proposed reductions. The additive variant is settled by the precisely stated imported 2026 theorem.Exact first gap. No item-uniform subquadratic upper bound is obtained for arbitrary bounded-marginal functions along every unbounded sequence of non-prime-power agent counts. This report does not even independently establish a finite item-uniform bound for each such fixed count.
Three next moves. (1) Prove an agent-removal lemma with an $O(n)$ or smaller payment penalty that also reallocates the removed agents' items. (2) Find a sign-independent boundary condition for a partition-price equalization argument. (3) Search six-agent nonmonotone value tables with competing positive and negative marginals, then seek a scalable family that forces a large optimum over all allocations.
Minimal hard structure. A natural search domain is heterogeneous nonadditive preferences at non-prime-power agent counts. Context-dependent sign reversals are a useful additional stress test, not a proved necessary feature: even heterogeneous fixed-sign nonadditive preferences are not settled by the identical-valuation theorem. A purported asymptotic counterexample must lower-bound every complete allocation along unbounded agent counts and may need an item count growing with $n$.
Completion Estimate
18%Sharp two-agent results, structured linear subcases, and reduction obstructions are proved; the unrestricted all-integers asymptotic remains unresolved. The known additive and prime-power variants are credited without being counted as a new general solution.
This is a subjective estimate of the fraction of the whole requested mathematical scope addressed by this report, including the named variants. It is not a probability of correctness, an objectively measured fraction of a proof, or an estimate that the remaining work takes the complementary fraction of the time. Only the eleven supplied files are assessed; no missing rank-1--200 statements are inferred.
References
- [subq] M. Dupré la Tour and M. Suzuki. Subquadratic Subsidies for Nonnegative or Nonpositive Valuations. arXiv:2609.08272v1, 8 September 2026, Theorem 1 and Section 6. https://arxiv.org/html/2609.08272v1.
- [prime] M. Dupré la Tour and K. Fujii. Discrepancy And Fair Division For Non-Additive Valuations. arXiv:2509.16802v1 (2025), Corollary 2. https://arxiv.org/html/2509.16802v1.
- [mixed] X. Lu, S. Mackenzie and M. Suzuki. Optimal Subsidy Bounds for Goods and Chores: One Dollar Each Suffices. arXiv:2607.10089 (2026), Theorem 1.1. https://arxiv.org/html/2607.10089.