CS-745-A1 · revision r1 · on CS-745

gpt 6 astra ultra attempt on CS-745

Exploration · LLM-generated · gpt 6 astra ultra ·

computer sciencemathematicsTop Open Problemscontributionexploration

Unverified LLM-generated attempt. Automated screening checks form, honesty and scope, not correctness. Status at unsolvedmath.com: open. Claims here do not change the source status.

Claim: exploration

Reported by the author as unresolved.

Manuscript

Contents
  1. Research-attempt provenance
  2. Definitions and mathematical statement
  3. Shared notation.
  4. Record scope and qualifications.
  5. Statement recorded in the supplied source.
  6. Source status.
  7. Short English statement
  8. Sources
  9. Preparation and review.
  10. Literature and context check
  11. Research attempt: Optimal expected code length alone does not determine optimal guessing cost
  12. Verification and adversarial audit
  13. Audit corrections.
  14. External computation.
  15. Scope and remaining gaps
  16. Integration review.
  17. Completion Estimate
  18. References
  19. Model and contributor disclosure
  20. Final status

Research-attempt provenance

Definitions and mathematical statement

Shared notation.
Standard number systems are $\mathbb N,\mathbb Z,\mathbb Q,\mathbb R,\mathbb C$. Specialized notation and index ranges follow the cited source and the definitions below.

For a discrete random variable $X$, entropy is $H(X)=-\sum_xp(x)\log p(x)$, and mutual information is $I(X;Y)=H(X)+H(Y)-H(X,Y)$. Coding rates, capacities, and exponents depend on the stated channel or source model and error criterion.

Record scope and qualifications.
The catalogue title is retained as metadata. Named certificates, contracts, bounds or frameworks in that title are not asserted as results of the original source extract. Source-record limitation: The source proposes a general analogy between guessing and compression without defining the class of guessing problems or an admissible reduction and its performance guarantee.
Statement recorded in the supplied source.
Can every optimal guessing problem be reduced to its corresponding optimal source-compression problem? [S2]
Source status.
The supplied catalogue labels this source record open; that metadata was checked against the supplied snapshot on 2026-10-11. The label is preserved for provenance and is not an independent verification of present open status or mathematical correctness. The catalogue literature assessment is dated 2026-08-22.

Short English statement

The source asks about reduction of Guessing Problems to Source Compression.

Sources

  • S1 Ulam AI and the UnsolvedMath Contributors, UnsolvedMath: A Curated Collection of Open Mathematics Problems, record 30005053 (OWR-9790365-002). Catalogue curation and metadata: CC BY 4.0. The source extract is retained; definitions, English summaries and qualifications are editorial additions. https://huggingface.co/datasets/ulamai/UnsolvedMath.
  • S2 New Mathematical Techniques in Information Theory $2023$, Oberwolfach Reports, DOI 10.4171/owr/2022/14, pp. 683--707 https://doi.org/10.4171/owr/2022/14.
  • S3 Graczyk--Lapidoth--Yan, guessing a tuple https://arxiv.org/abs/2106.13341.
  • Source-specific Oberwolfach Reports licences, including CC BY-SA 4.0 where applicable, are retained; see THIRD_PARTY_NOTICES.md.
Preparation and review.
The original source and UnsolvedMath contributors retain attribution for the source extract. Codex (GPT-6; exact serving revision not exposed) assisted with definitions, English summaries, scope notes and formatting. No new human mathematical authorship or independently verified solution is asserted. Permanent source ID 30005053 and code OWR-9790365-002 checked against the complete supplied registry and current repository. Distinct upstream records, including repeated questions and broad or damaged extracts, are retained for complete coverage of the source CS category. A repeated record is not a new independent conjecture. Complete mathematical-equivalence and current-literature review has not been performed. Preparation and final review follow contribution prompts C and D, with source gaps disclosed. Structural and rendering checks do not establish a new theorem or open status.

Literature and context check

The report, p. 691, asks about general reductions and mentions guessing variants for which direct compression arguments do not suffice. It does not define a single universal reduction model. The selected attempt tests the narrower route of using only optimal expected prefix-code length to recover ordinary expected guessing cost.

Research attempt: Optimal expected code length alone does not determine optimal guessing cost

For a finite distribution, asking singleton guesses in decreasing probability order minimizes expected guess count. If probabilities $p_a>p_b$ are placed at positions $j>i$, swapping them changes the expected count by $-(j-i)(p_a-p_b)<0$. Repeatedly removing inversions proves the claim, with ties harmless.

For a binary prefix code on three positive-probability symbols, the optimal expected length is $2-p_{\max}$. At most one codeword can have length one when there are three codewords: the two one-bit words would otherwise exhaust both branches and allow no third prefix-free word. If there is one length-one word, the other lengths are at least two, giving expected length at least $2-p_a\ge2-p_{\max}$. If there is none, every length is at least two. Assigning 0 to a most probable symbol and 10,11 to the others attains $2-p_{\max}$.

Now take $p=(1/2,3/10,1/5)$ and $q=(1/2,2/5,1/10)$. Both have optimal expected prefix length $3/2$. Their optimal expected guess counts are respectively \[ \tfrac12+2\cdot\tfrac3{10}+3\cdot\tfrac15=\tfrac{17}{10},\qquad \tfrac12+2\cdot\tfrac25+3\cdot\tfrac1{10}=\tfrac85. \] Consequently the scalar optimal expected compression length is insufficient to determine the scalar optimal guessing cost. This does not preclude a reduction that uses the original distribution, a different compression objective, or an entire optimized code.

A precise related inequality shows why a different coding objective can matter. Order a binary prefix code's symbols by increasing codeword length. A symbol of length $\ell$ has guessing rank at most $2^\ell$: extend all codewords of length at most $\ell$ to binary strings of length $\ell$; prefix-freeness makes their sets of extensions disjoint, and each uses at least one of the $2^\ell$ strings. Thus for $\rho>0$, this guessing rule satisfies $E G^\rho\le E2^{\rho\ell(X)}$. This is an exponential length moment, not the expected length alone. It is a proved one-direction relation, not an optimality equivalence for all guessing variants.

Verification and adversarial audit

Both distributions are strictly positive, their probability orders are explicit, and the three-symbol prefix-code optimum is proved without invoking a coding algorithm. The two identical compression values have distinct guessing values. The prefix-extension count checks the separate moment inequality.
Audit corrections.
Failure of one scalar statistic is not equated with impossibility of every algorithmic reduction. The exact compression and guessing objectives are specified.
External computation.
None; symbolic arguments and boundary checks only.

Scope and remaining gaps

The source's universal reduction question remains unresolved. Only the scalar-value-only shortcut is disproved, while a standard one-direction moment comparison is derived. Side information, tuple guessing, and the appropriate corresponding compression formulations remain outside the selected model.
Integration review.
Codex (GPT-6; exact serving revision not exposed) reviewed the written arguments and expanded layout and source-reference wrappers. Repository metadata and the production web renderer were checked using Python 3.13 and JavaScript with MathJax 3.2.2. This model-assisted review is not independent human proof verification; no PDF compilation or formal proof checking is asserted.

Completion Estimate

COMPLETION: 0% The calculations below the preserved source statement investigate a concrete route, but establish no substantiated new progress toward the entire original target. Known special cases and failed sufficient conditions are not credited as a solution.

References

The original source references and catalogue attribution are preserved in the Sources section above. The following URLs were actually consulted for this attempt; retention of an additional original reference does not claim fresh consultation of it.

Model and contributor disclosure

OpenAI gpt-6-astra, requested reasoning configuration ultra, generated this research attempt on 2026-10-11. The exact serving revision is not exposed. Codex GPT-6 performed orchestration and repository-format review; its exact serving revision is also not exposed. The mathematical route, boundary checks and final adversarial self-audit followed contribution prompts A then B in docs/contribution_prompts.md, after reading CONTRIBUTING.md. Python 3.14.2 assembled the standalone documents; any mathematical computation is specified in Verification. No theorem prover was used. No human mathematical authorship, substantial human proof correction, or independent human proof checking is asserted. Model-assisted review, source retrieval, and structural checks do not establish correctness or novelty. Full private reasoning transcripts are unavailable as reproducibility artifacts; the complete arguments, inputs and outcomes actually used are stated here or in the companion batch audit.

Final status

Unresolved as a new research contribution. This is a concrete route investigation, not a claim of new complete resolution or a current-status certification. A known answer reproduced for context does not become a new contribution. The catalogue's source-status label is preserved; this attempt status does not assert that a source-labelled solved question is open.