GPT 6 Astra Pro attempt on Econ-86
economicsEconomics cataloguecontributionexplorationClaim: exploration
Reported by the author as unresolved.
Manuscript
Contents
- FORMAL RESTATEMENT
- QUICK LITERATURE/CONTEXT CHECK
- ATTACK PLAN
- WORK
- A complete payment certificate for a fixed partition
- A sharp theorem for two agents, even without monotonicity
- Identical monotone valuations: a linear constructive bound
- Scaling and the negative-transfer variant
- VERIFICATION
- FINAL
- Completion Estimate
- References
D63-84.tex
Research attempt and adversarial audit --- 9 October 2026
FORMAL RESTATEMENT
For every $n\ge1$, every finite item set $M$, and normalized monotone functions $v_i:2^M\to{\mathbb{R}}_{\ge0}$ with all one-item marginals in $[0,1]$, define \[ s(v)=\inf_{A,p\in{\mathbb{R}}_{\ge0}^n}\left\{\sum_i p_i: v_i(A_i)+p_i\ge v_i(A_j)+p_j\ \text{for all }i,j\right\}, \] where $A$ is a complete partition. The question is \[ \exists C<\infty\ \forall n\ \forall M\ \forall v\quad s(v)\le Cn. \] The constant is independent of the item count and all values. Subsidies move with the compared bundle, hence the right side contains $p_j$. The infimum convention is $+\infty$ for an empty feasible set; feasibility and attainment are proved below. Scaling the marginal bound, dropping monotonicity while retaining nonnegative bundle values, allowing negative transfers, and requiring efficient computation are distinct variants.QUICK LITERATURE/CONTEXT CHECK
The full text of Dupré la Tour and Suzuki is accessible: its Section 6 asks whether monotone goods admit a linear total bound [subq]. The proved subquadratic estimate is still asymptotically larger than linear. Therefore it does not answer this input merely by removing the historical quadratic upper bound.ATTACK PLAN
The proof track studies minimum payment potentials and common-value balancing; the disproof track searches for unavoidable accumulation of envy along long paths. One-good instances test the smallest possible linear constant, while zero-sum transfers test whether changing the payment domain trivializes the objective.| Tool | Role |
| Difference constraints | Characterize exactly which partitions admit subsidies. |
| Longest-path potentials | Give minimal nonnegative payments and a certificate. |
| Finite welfare-maximizing assignment | Ensures feasibility for at least one bundle assignment. |
| Prefix crossing | Produces the sharp two-agent bound. |
| Greedy load balancing | Solves identical monotone valuations. |
| Oracle/bit-complexity accounting | Separates evaluation of a certificate from finding it. |
| Small Lipschitz set-function search | Tests nonadditive and mixed-sign boundary cases. |
| Topological/discrepancy methods | Possible route to global bounds, but not a polynomial algorithm by themselves. |
WORK
A complete payment certificate for a fixed partition
Any nonnegative feasible $p$ dominates every path weight starting at $i$: sum the edge inequalities along that path and use nonnegativity of its final payment. Hence $p_i\ge p_i^*$ for every $i$. If the minimum coordinate of $p^*$ were positive, subtracting it from all coordinates would give a strictly smaller nonnegative feasible vector, a contradiction.
To obtain some envy-freeable allocation, begin with any $n$ bundle occurrences, including empty occurrences, forming a partition. Choose an assignment of those bundles to the agents that maximizes total value over the finite set of $n!$ assignments. A positive cycle in its envy graph would reassign the bundles cyclically and strictly increase that total, an impossibility. Finally there are finitely many complete allocations. Each feasible one has the attained minimum total $\sum_i p_i^*$, and at least one is feasible; taking the smallest of finitely many such totals proves attainment of $s(v)$. ∎
A sharp theorem for two agents, even without monotonicity
Fix this bipartition $S,T$. Write $d_i=v_i(S)-v_i(T)$. If $d_1\ge d_2$, assign $S$ to agent 1 and $T$ to agent 2. The constraints on the payment difference are \[ d_2\le p_2-p_1\le d_1. \] Choose the element of this closed interval nearest zero; its absolute value is the minimum possible total nonnegative subsidy, by placing that amount on the appropriate agent and zero on the other. If $d_1<d_2$, reverse the bundles and apply the same argument to $-d_1,-d_2$. The resulting minimum total is zero if $d_1,d_2$ straddle zero, and otherwise $\min\{|d_1|,|d_2|\}$. It is therefore at most one. Scanning the prefixes requires $O(m)$ queries and the final pair of values for agent 2; all arithmetic is exact for rational inputs.
For sharpness, use one good valued at one by both agents. Whichever receives it, the other needs a subsidy exactly one larger than the recipient's. Nonnegative payments therefore have total at least one, achieved by paying the nonrecipient one and the recipient zero. ∎
Identical monotone valuations: a linear constructive bound
Scaling and the negative-transfer variant
For signed transfers, Lemma Lemma (Difference constraints, exact feasibility and attainment) supplies an allocation and feasible nonnegative payments $p$. Put $t_i=p_i-\overline p$, where $\overline p=n^{-1}\sum_i p_i$. Every pairwise inequality is unchanged by this common subtraction, and $\sum_i t_i=0$. Some agents can now be charged; no individual-rationality constraint was assumed. This proves the stated transfer feasibility, not a nonnegative-subsidy bound. ∎
VERIFICATION
The executable checks generated normalized integer set functions of the form \[ v(S)=\min_r\{c_r+|S\triangle K_r|\}-\min_r\{c_r+|K_r|\}. \] Each cone is 1-Lipschitz for the Hamming metric, and the pointwise minimum is also 1-Lipschitz: using a minimizing index at one endpoint gives one direction of the inequality, and interchanging endpoints gives the other. The program additionally checked every one-item marginal explicitly. With seed 20261009, it tested 200 two-agent/five-item instances and 200 three-agent/four-item instances. It enumerated every complete allocation, computed exact minimum payments by the recurrence, and found largest observed optima of one in both batches. These are nonuniform small samples, not worst-case asymptotic bounds; many generated valuations are not monotone.
\begin{lstlisting} for each sampled valuation table v: best = infinity for each complete allocation A: w[i,j] = v[i,A[j]] - v[i,A[i]] p = longest-walk recurrence from zero if p passes all envy constraints: best = min(best,sum(p)) retain exact best and a witnessing allocation \end{lstlisting} The one-good lower example was verified algebraically for every $n$, not inferred from this sample. Boundary checks include $n=1$, no items, zero values, zero-weight cycles, and exact rational payment differences. No positive-cycle partition is declared feasible merely because one or more agents could be paid a large amount: a positive cycle makes every payment vector impossible.The item-dependent bound does not survive taking the supremum over $m$. The common-value proof controls the spread of bundle values, not their absolute sizes; arbitrarily many goods are therefore harmless in that subcase. In heterogeneous instances, equating each agent's own utility with a number $H$ does not equate its evaluations of others' bundles, so that tempting extension fails. The signed-transfer argument is explicitly excluded from the main nonnegative-payment model.
FINAL
LABEL: UNRESOLVED. The full linear subsidy conjecture is not proved or disproved. Fully proved are finite feasibility and attainment, $n=2$ with sharp worst-case total one, the identical-monotone bound $n-1$, the universal lower example $n-1$, exact scaling and signed-transfer feasibility.Exact first gap. No bound on the minimum total subsidy uniform in $m$ and linear in $n$ is obtained for heterogeneous monotone valuations.
Three next moves. (1) Seek a reallocation lemma that shortens high-weight envy paths without creating a positive cycle. (2) Prove a linear bound first for two distinct monotone valuation types, beyond identical agents. (3) Search families with growing $n$ and complementarities where every welfare-optimal assignment of every candidate partition has large minimum payment, rather than merely presenting a bad fixed partition.
Minimal potential counterexample. It must defeat all partitions and not just a chosen envy-freeable allocation. A single long positive path is insufficient unless no alternative allocation removes its accumulated deficit.
Completion Estimate
20%The exact boundary cases, common-valuation theorem, scaling and transfer variants are handled; no general heterogeneous linear upper bound or superlinear lower family is established.
This is a subjective estimate of the fraction of the whole requested mathematical scope addressed by this report, including the named variants. It is not a probability of correctness, an objectively measured fraction of a proof, or an estimate that the remaining work takes the complementary fraction of the time. Only the eleven supplied files are assessed; no missing rank-1--200 statements are inferred.
References
- [subq] M. Dupré la Tour and M. Suzuki. Subquadratic Subsidies for Nonnegative or Nonpositive Valuations. arXiv:2609.08272v1, 8 September 2026, Theorem 1 and Section 6. https://arxiv.org/html/2609.08272v1.