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GPT 6 Astra Ultra attempt on Econ-53

Exploration · LLM-generated · gpt 6 astra ultra ·

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Contents
  1. Games with constrained Nash equilibria for every feasible outside option: Finite recognition and the limits of potential-based characterizations
  2. Remaining gap.
  3. References
  4. Completion Estimate

Games with constrained Nash equilibria for every feasible outside option: Finite recognition and the limits of potential-based characterizations

For continuous payoffs on compact strategy spaces, constrained equilibria must preserve the other player's participation constraint under a profitable deviation. The feasible set is \[ F(a,b)=\{(x,y):f(x,y)\geq a,\ g(x,y)\geq b\}. \] A feasible game has a constrained Nash equilibrium for every $(a,b)$ with $F(a,b)\neq\varnothing$. This note gives an exact finite recognition theorem for pure finite strategy spaces. These spaces are a genuine subclass of the question, not mixed-strategy simplexes.

Theorem (Finite payoff-grid recognition): Let $X,Y$ be finite nonempty sets, let $N=|X||Y|$, and let $f,g$ be explicitly given real payoff tables. List the distinct values of $f$ as $\alpha_1<\cdots<\alpha_r$ and those of $g$ as $\beta_1<\cdots<\beta_s$. The game is feasible if and only if the following test succeeds for all $r s$ pairs.

Form the set $F_{uv}=\{(x,y): f(x,y)\geq\alpha_u,\ g(x,y)\geq\beta_v\}$. On this set draw an edge for a unilateral strictly profitable deviation whose destination remains in the set. If $F_{uv}$ is nonempty, require a vertex of outdegree zero. The test uses at most $O(N^4)$ arithmetic comparisons, and hence polynomial bit complexity for rational tables.

Proof: For any outside option $a\leq\max f$, choose the smallest payoff value $\alpha_u\geq a$. Then $f(x,y)\geq a$ if and only if $f(x,y)\geq\alpha_u$. The analogous statement holds for $b$. Options above either payoff maximum are infeasible. Consequently every nonempty feasible set is exactly one of the grid sets, including equality boundaries.

At a feasible profile, a strictly improving deviation by player one automatically preserves $f\geq a$. Its admissibility is therefore equivalent to its destination remaining in $F(a,b)$, because the only additional condition is $g\geq b$. The same argument applies to player two. Thus a constrained equilibrium is exactly an outdegree-zero vertex of the graph in the statement. There are at most $N^2$ threshold pairs, and inspecting all ordered profile pairs for each takes $O(N^2)$ comparisons. Sorting and construction do not exceed that bound. Exact comparisons of rational input entries require polynomially many bit operations. ∎

This characterization removes the continuum of outside options, but it does not replace the requested broad structural characterization. Its obstruction is concrete: an upper-right payoff cut whose nonempty improvement graph has no sink vertex. Merely finding an improvement cycle is insufficient, because a cycle may have exits to constrained equilibria.

Proposition (A sufficient compact-space condition): Suppose $X,Y$ are compact metric spaces, $f,g$ are continuous, and a continuous function $\Phi:X\times Y\to\mathbb R$ strictly increases along every unilateral strictly profitable deviation. Then the game is feasible.
Proof: For attainable $(a,b)$, continuity makes $F(a,b)$ nonempty and compact. Choose a maximizer of $\Phi$ over this set. Any admissible profitable deviation remains in the set: it preserves the other player's threshold by definition and its own threshold by strict improvement. It would strictly increase $\Phi$, contradicting maximality. Neither player has such a deviation, which is the constrained-equilibrium condition. ∎

The exact-potential version of this argument is already in Garrido-Lucero and Laraki [source], Section 5.3.2. The proof only needs the stated ordinal increase property.

Example (Feasibility does not imply absence of improvement cycles): Let both players have actions $1,2,3$. On the upper-left $2\times2$ subgame put \[ (f,g)=\begin{pmatrix}(1,-1)&(-1,1)\$-1,1)&(1,-1)\end{pmatrix}. \] At every profile having a coordinate equal to $3$, set $(f,g)=(10,10)$. The four profiles of the $2\times2$ block contain a strict unilateral improvement cycle, so no function strictly increasing along all strict improvements can exist: summing its strict increases around the cycle gives a contradiction. Nevertheless the game is feasible. Any attainable outside options satisfy $a\leq10$ and $b\leq10$, and $(3,3)$ is an ordinary Nash equilibrium attaining both global payoff maxima. It is therefore a constrained equilibrium at every attainable pair.
Remaining gap.
The finite test is an exact recognition procedure for pure payoff tables. Mixed deviations produce infinitely many distinct threshold sets, so the finite payoff-grid proof does not extend to bilinear games on simplexes. The example rules out necessity of an ordinal potential but does not identify a sufficient and necessary compact-space structural property.

References

Completion Estimate

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