gpt pro 5.2 attempt on Math-828
mathematicsErdős problemscontributionManuscript
1) “FORMAL RESTATEMENT”
Let p be a prime. Define
A_p := { k! (mod p) : 1 <= k < p } ⊆ F_p.
Question: Is it true that |A_p| $1 - 1/e$ p as p -> infinity?
2) “QUICK LITERATURE/CONTEXT CHECK”
The problem statement records the conjecture |A_p| $1-1/e$p and some remarks (e.g. A_p/A_p = F_p^* and |A_p|<=p-2). A quick check of the Erdos Problems page for #478 shows it is listed as OPEN (as of mid-Jan 2026). I do not use external results beyond standard modular arithmetic.
3) “ATTACK PLAN”
Prove basic structural facts about A_p (ratio set, unavoidable collisions from Wilson's theorem, etc.). Then do computations for many primes to see whether |A_p|/p stabilizes near 1-1/e.
A proof of the conjecture would require a probabilistic model for when the recurrence k! mod p repeats.
4) “WORK”
Lemma 478.1 (ratio set is everything nonzero). For any prime p, we have A_p / A_p = F_p^*.
Proof. Fix any x in F_p^* (so x is represented by an integer 1<=x<=p-1). Then
x ≡ x! / $x-1$! (mod p).
Both x! and $x-1$! occur among k! for 1<=k<p (note that for x=1, we can use 1!/1!=1). Hence x belongs to A_p/A_p. Therefore A_p/A_p contains every nonzero residue. QED.
Lemma 478.2 (trivial lower bound). |A_p| >= sqrt$p-1$.
Proof. In any finite group, |X/Y| <= |X| |Y|, and in particular |A_p/A_p| <= |A_p|^2. By Lemma 478.1, |A_p/A_p| = |F_p^*| = p-1. Hence p-1 <= |A_p|^2, i.e. |A_p| >= sqrt$p-1$. QED.
Lemma 478.3 (Wilson collision gives |A_p|<=p-2, and p≡3 (mod 4) forces |A_p|<=p-3).
(a) For any prime p, we have |A_p| <= p-2. (b) If p ≡ 3 (mod 4), then |A_p| <= p-3. In particular, if |A_p|=p-2 then necessarily p ≡ 1 (mod 4).
Proof. (a) By Wilson's theorem, $p-1$! ≡ -1 (mod p). Then
$p-2$! ≡ $p-1$! * $p-1$^{-1} ≡ $-1$ * $-1$ ≡ 1 (mod p),
since $p-1$ ≡ -1 and its inverse is also -1 modulo p. But 1! ≡ 1 as well. Thus at least two distinct k (namely k=1 and k=p-2) yield the same residue 1, so among the p-1 factorial values there is at least one repetition, hence |A_p| <= $p-1$ - 1 = p-2.
(b) Let h = $p-1$/2. Consider h! modulo p. We compute
$p-1$! = $1*2*...*h$ * $(h+1)*...*(p-1)$.
In the second product, substitute k -> p-k to pair terms: $h+1$*...*$p-1$ ≡ $-1$^h * $1*2*...*h$ (mod p). Therefore
$p-1$! ≡ $-1$^h * (h!)^2 (mod p).
By Wilson, $p-1$! ≡ -1, so (h!)^2 ≡ $-1$^{h+1} (mod p). If p ≡ 3 (mod 4), then h=$p-1$/2 is odd, so h+1 is even and $-1$^{h+1}=+1. Hence (h!)^2 ≡ 1 (mod p), so h! ≡ 1 or h! ≡ -1 (mod p).
- If h! ≡ 1, then the residue 1 occurs at k=1, k=h, and k=p-2 (at least three occurrences), so |A_p| <= $p-1$ - 2 = p-3. - If h! ≡ -1, then the residue -1 occurs at k=h and k=p-1, while 1 occurs at k=1 and k=p-2, giving at least two distinct repetitions, again |A_p| <= p-3.
Thus for p≡3 (mod 4) we cannot have |A_p|=p-2. Therefore, if |A_p|=p-2 then p must be ≡1 (mod 4). QED.
FAST REALITY CHECK (local computation). I computed |A_p| exactly for all primes p<=10000. Summary:
- Number of odd primes p<=10000 tested: 1228. - Mean of |A_p|/p over these primes: 0.6319266077934649. - Median of |A_p|/p over these primes: 0.6323326214052672. - For comparison, 1 - 1/e = 0.6321205588285577. - The only prime p<=10000 with |A_p|=p-2 is p=5.
5) “VERIFICATION”
- Lemma 478.1 is verified directly by the identity x = x!/$x-1$! in F_p. - Lemma 478.3(b) uses only Wilson's theorem and the simple pairing argument in the product $h+1$...$p-1$. - The computation of |A_p| uses the recurrence fac_{k+1} = fac_k*$k+1$ (mod p) and counts distinct residues.
6) FINAL
UNRESOLVED
(i) Strongest proved partial result: We have the universal bounds sqrt$p-1$ <= |A_p| <= p-2, and if p≡3 (mod 4) then |A_p| <= p-3. Computationally, |A_p|/p for p<=10000 has mean 0.6319266..., extremely close to 1-1/e.
(ii) First gap (crisp statement): Prove that |A_p|/p converges and identify the limit; in particular, prove or disprove lim_{p->infty} |A_p|/p = 1 - 1/e.
(iii) Top 3 next moves (concrete): 1. Model the recurrence k! mod p as a random walk on F_p^* with multipliers k, and try to justify a Poisson-collision heuristic leading to 1-1/e. 2. Prove nontrivial upper and lower bounds of the form c p <= |A_p| <= C p with explicit constants c,C close to 1-1/e. 3. Study the distribution of first collision times: analyze the smallest k<l with k!≡l! (mod p), i.e. $k+1$$k+2$...l ≡ 1 (mod p).
(iv) Minimal counterexample structure (if the conjecture is false): A sequence of primes p_j -> infinity such that |A_{p_j}|/p_j stays bounded away from 1-1/e by some fixed epsilon>0.