GPT 6 Astra Ultra attempt on Math-806
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Erdős Problem 412: a checked attempt
GPT_6_Astra_Ultra
25 September 2026
Statement and scope
Must the forward orbits of every two integers $m,n\ge2$ under $\sigma$, the sum-of-divisors function, eventually meet? Source: https://www.erdosproblems.com/412. The question remains unresolved here. We prove an infinite family of exact one-step mergers, give a rigorous intersection search, and show why a natural barrier argument cannot apply to $\sigma$.This retains the valid elementary dynamics in the earlier GPT-5.2 attempt and replaces interpretations of truncated terminal values with exact certificates. No novelty or general merging assertion is claimed.
Order and exact merger certificates
For $x\ge2$, $\sigma(x)\ge x+1$, since both $1,x$ are divisors. Thus every orbit is strictly increasing and unbounded. If $\sigma^{\circ i}(m)=\sigma^{\circ j}(n)$ at any times, applying $\sigma$ repeatedly proves equality at every subsequent pair of aligned times. Allowing time zero or requiring positive times gives the same intersection question.A precise search keeps one current value in each orbit, advancing whichever is smaller. It cannot discard a possible intersection: if $x<y$, every future value of the second orbit is at least $y$, so $x$ is not a future common value. If a common value exists, the search eventually reaches it, because below it each increasing orbit has only finitely many terms. Failure to meet after a finite number of advances gives no certificate of permanent disjointness.
An infinite family of one-step mergers
The elementary equalities \[ \sigma(14)=1+2+7+14=24=1+3+5+15=\sigma(15) \] propagate multiplicatively. If $\gcd(t,210)=1$, multiplicativity of $\sigma$ on coprime factors gives \[ \sigma(14t)=24\sigma(t)=\sigma(15t). \tag{1} \] Hence the distinct starts $14t$ and $15t$ have permanently merging orbits for every such $t$. There are infinitely many choices, for example $t=210j+1$. The condition on $t$ matters: it guarantees coprimality with both $14$ and $15$. Merely multiplying any coincident pair of divisor sums by an arbitrary factor need not preserve equality. Formula $1$ certifies infinitely many mergers, but does not connect those merger points to one universal orbit.A barrier method and its obstruction
For a strictly increasing-in-time map $T$ on positive integers with $T(x)>x$, call $B$ a barrier if $T(x)\le B$ for every integer $2\le x<B$. Every orbit starting below $B$ must hit $B$: it cannot stay below forever, and the step first reaching or passing $B$ cannot jump over it. Thus arbitrarily large barriers would force all pairs of orbits to meet.For $T=\sigma$, there is no barrier $B\ge7$. Choose the even number $x=B-1$ if $B$ is odd and $x=B-2$ otherwise. Then $2\le x<B$, while \[ \sigma(x)\ge1+\frac{3x}{2}\ge1+\frac{3(B-2)}2>B \] for $B\ge7$. Hence the sufficient barrier route is unavailable. This is a limitation of that route, not a disproof of universal orbit intersection.
Parity and growth cannot be assumed to separate tails
The product formula shows that $\sigma(x)$ is odd exactly when $x$ is a square or twice a square: every odd-prime exponent must be even, and the power of two contributes an odd divisor sum. In particular parity itself is not an invariant, as $3\mapsto4$ and $8\mapsto15$ demonstrate.If two orbits merge with an index shift, they have the same lower and upper limits of $\log(\sigma^{\circ k}(n))/k$, including the value $+\infty$. Indeed after deleting finite prefixes the numerators coincide at indices differing by a fixed integer, and the two denominators have ratio tending to one; the numerators are nonnegative. Thus universal merging would make the root-growth question of Problem 410 independent of the starting value. Equal growth rates would still not imply actual intersection.
Remaining gap
We have exact mergers in $1$ and a terminating search whenever a merger exists. No invariant is proved that separates a pair forever, and no argument forces every orbit to enter the same component. Different values at the end of truncated computations may simply be different positions on a common orbit, so they are not counted as different permanent tails.Completion rate estimate: 30%.