## Problem 158 — rank:91

**Title:** Predictability of convergent evolution

**Added binding assumptions (LaTeX):**

```latex
Specify the independent lineage/founder sampling law and what is conditioned on when comparing environments; a fixed pair of environments is a design choice, not a random conditioning event without an environmental distribution. Define convergence up to a stated phenotype metric and ancestry equivalence. Separate selection-induced convergence from shared ancestry, mutation bias and measurement resolution by declared controls and held-out evolutionary replicates.
```

**Direct edits:** 0. **Fresh external checks:** None; supplied sources retained as provenance.